Quarterly Market Update (Jan-Mar 24′) | 12 April 2024

By Angus Dixon

The first quarter of 2024 has been interesting. There seems to be a want from both buyers and sellers but a lack of urgency on either side or sometimes both!

The beginning for the year has brought some positivity, with increased buyer activity/registrations, holds on further interest rate hikes and also a cooling on much of the economic headwinds we experienced in 2023. This has been a welcome change to what was, across the board, a fairly challenging previous 12 months.

Lucian Cook, head of residential research at Savills stated in a recent report:

“The outlook for the housing market has certainly improved, partly because the mortgage market has recovered more quickly than expected. With the first rate cut rapidly coming into view and recessionary risks easing, greater stability has returned to the cost of mortgage debt, which has positively impacted domestic prime markets where many buyers rely on borrowing, most notably in leafy outer prime South and West London, as well as the commuter belt,”

The market is however still crying out for more stock despite the number of sales instructions in London being 17% above the five-year average in Q1. With buyer confidence coming back, particularly with domestic/needs based purchasers, hopefully this will encourage vendors to bring properties to the market

The top end of the market is still the best performing sales market sector, with £5m+ activity well above long-term trend levels according to LonRes. The statistics from February show that; sales were 4.2% higher than a year earlier and 25% ahead of the 2017-2019 (pre-pandemic) February average. New instructions in this market rose by 8.4% annually. However, there is a growing volume of available homes for sale in this market, with 26% more £5m+ properties for sale at the end of February than a year ago.

Q1 activity is broadly in line with trends seen in the same months both pre-pandemic and in 2023, but activity has fallen back from levels seen in 2021 and 2022.

Supply, based on new sales instructions, has risen more quickly but the available stock for sale is only increasing gradually – for that reason the market seems to be remaining fairly balanced.  

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The following payments may apply when entering an Assured Shorthold Tenancy:

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